· Several Russian ships relocated from Crimea to Krasnodar port
· Footage shows a successful day for Ukraine in the Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk regions
· Confiscated Iranian arms and ammo redirected to Kyiv, CNN reports
· US President “worried” about status of upcoming aid packages
· Six to eight more weeks of suitable fighting weather, NSC predicts
Russia moves Black Sea Fleet vessels
According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Russian Navy has recently moved several Black Sea Fleet ships from their home port in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea, to a harbor in Novorossiysk, Krasnodar region, likely in an effort to protect them from continued Ukrainian strikes.
Satellite imagery published this week shows that Russian forces transferred at least 10 vessels from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk. The photos seem to show that the Admiral Makarov and Admiral Essen frigates, three diesel submarines, five landing ships, and several small missile ships have been relocated, with four Kilo-class submarines remaining in Sevastopol.
🇷🇺BSF: FEODOSIA🇷🇺— MT Anderson (@MT_Anderson) October 2, 2023
0.5M📷 from 2 Oct 2023. While the new Karakurt Class corvette has departed, we see 2x Alexandrit Class, 1x Buyan-M, 1x Ropucha, 1x Tarantul Class and 1x Pr. 22160 (1st time I've seen that class here). Also, grain thief GOLDEN YARA is still loading her plunder. pic.twitter.com/qbLnfllQuJ
Operations: Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions
Meanwhile, the General Staff noted enemy counterattacks near Verbove, where Russian forces reportedly regained some previously liberated territory. A number of Russian sources claimed that airborne units pushed back Ukrainian defenses about 2 kilometers.
Claimed VDV shelling of entrenched AFU using a BMD-4 in indirect fire mode east of Novoprokopivka.— imi (m) (@moklasen) October 4, 2023
Slight advance in the grey zone
Location: 47.4113763846, 35.8838796836@UAControlMap @GeoConfirmed pic.twitter.com/oftZUbMceM
US to transfer seized Iranian weapons to Ukraine
CNN reported on Wednesday that the United States will hand over to Ukraine a cache of Iranian arms seized from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard back in July. The weapons and ammunition were confiscated from a shipment bound for Yemen to support rebel armies, and the US Department of Justice has been trying for months to find a legal way to transfer the supplies to allies, CNN said.
More than one million rounds of ammunition from that cache already have been sent to Ukraine.
US aid to Ukraine was put in jeopardy this week when last-minute budget negotiations left out of line items to fund the counteroffensive, a situation made more critical on Tuesday when the House of Representatives ousted its speaker, Kevin McCarthy. Any discussions to revive Ukrainian aid will have to wait until the House elects a new leader.
According to analysts at the ISW: “Hardening ground during the winter freeze will likely enable the tempo of combat operations to increase, however, and Ukrainian officials have expressed their intent to continue counteroffensive operations into late 2023 and exploit cold weather conditions. ISW has frequently assessed that offensive operations will continue through the winter season and has observed the continuation of combat activities throughout the fall mud season of 2022, winter season of 2022–2023, and spring mud season of 2023.
Tune in for a briefing with Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre and NSC Coordinator for Strategic Communications John Kirby. https://t.co/Uol0FDWjtJ— The White House (@WhiteHouse) October 3, 2023
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